When given an option between a reversible decision and an irreversible decision, we tend to prefer the former. We like money back guarantees. We like no strings return policies. There is something comforting about knowing that we can change our minds in the future.
There is less pressure on us to make the perfect choice. We are not stuck if we make a bad decision.
This is assumed to be due to being in their formative years when the 2008 recession happened. One expert noted that prior generations saw “plenty of boom times where the stock market was going up, home prices were going up, so they didn’t feel they had to save.”
Millennials saw that markets can go down and home prices can go down and placed more emphasis on emergency savings and a bit less on consumption.
Sometimes I will read the same piece of advice across a dozen personal finance books and a host of personal finance blogs. My brain will automatically start pushing that to the back of my mind as common knowledge.
And then, sometime later, I will be interacting with someone in the real world and remember that it is not common knowledge. I will remember that I am a weirdo and normal people don’t spend their time reading personal finance books for fun.
I like to spend a lot of time exploring cognitive biases. I firmly believe that if we spend the time to get familiar with the natural flaws in our thinking we can avoid those flaws, make better decisions, and live a richer and happier life.
As we’ve already discovered, to retire comfortably you need around 25 times your annual expenses. This number comes from the 4% rule, which I briefly touched on (and which got a lot of attention in the comments because you all are apparently as nerdy as I am). Today we’re going to explore the 4% rule and determine whether it is still a viable retirement guideline. Continue reading “Understanding the 4% Rule”
Imagine that you spent $100 to book a ski trip to Michigan that seemed like it would be a lot of fun. You later spent $50 on a ski trip to Wisconsin that seemed like it would be even more fun. After spending your money on both (and finding out that they cannot be refunded or resold) you realize that the trips are for the same weekend. Which one do you go on?Continue reading “Saving Time and Money – Avoiding the Sunk Cost Fallacy”
As an older Millennial (I liked it better when they briefly called us Digital Natives, but unfortunately I don’t control the generation-naming zeitgeist) I grew up with all of the Boomer authority figures drilling into my head that buying a house is a great investment.
Renting is just throwing money away. Nobody is going to be making any new land any time soon, so home prices can only go up!
One of the central concepts in decision-making is the concept of opportunity cost. Every decision we make on a daily basis, whether it is an involuntary part of our routine or an active choice, can be evaluated using this overarching concept. Essentially, the idea behind opportunity cost is that oftentimes a choice that we make will close the door on other choices. If I go to the beach this weekend, I can’t also go to the mountains this weekend. If I spend $300,000 on a Ferrari 458 Speciale, I can’t invest that $300,000 in the stock market (or ever retire). Continue reading “The Importance of Opportunity Cost in a Happy and Wealthy Life”